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Table 3 Handling of treatment in the analyses of prognostic model studies

From: Treatment use in prognostic model research: a systematic review of cardiovascular prognostic studies

Approach taken to account for treatment use Development studies n = 124 (%) Incremental value studies n = 135 (%) Validation studies n = 146 (%)
Treated patients excluded from the analysis 20 (15) 53 (39) 38 (26)
 Antihypertensive medication users 4 (3) 6 (4) 6 (4)
 Lipid-lowering medication users 6 (5) 10 (7) 16 (11)
 Other medication users 1 (1) 2 (1) 1 (1)
 Lifestyle interventions 0 0 0
 Patients who received surgery 14 (10) 39 (29) 22 (15)
Untreated patients-only sensitivity analysis 9 (7) 5 (4) 4 (3)
Stratification by treatment use 1 (1) 0 0
Treatment included in the outcome 23 (19) 58 (43) 35 (24)
Treatment modelled as a predictor 54 (44) 48 (59)a
 Antihypertensive medication use 49 (40) 44 (54)a
 Lipid-lowering medication use 12 (10) 15 (11)a
 Other medication use 2 (2) 5 (4)a
 Lifestyle interventions 1 (1) 0a
 Surgical interventions 0 0a
Type of treatment information modelled
 Modelled directly (not a composite predictorb) 37 (30) 44 (54)a
 Baseline treatment 41 (33) 36 (44)a
 Changes in treatment during follow-up 0 0a
 Treatment at the end of follow-up 0 1 (1)a
 Not clearly reported 12 (10) 11 (8)
Statistical interactions with treatment considered 21 (17) 7 (5)a
  1. aOnly studies that assessed incremental value over a core set of individual predictors (n = 81) and thus had the opportunity to include treatment variables within the core set of predictors; studies that assessed incremental value over an existing prognostic model or risk score did not derive a new prediction model and are not included in the calculation
  2. bComposite predictors are here defined as the combination of two or more variables (including treatment use) into a single predictor